Business

Brent oil prices slip as investors assess risks of supply disruption

Published

2 days ago

February 17, 2026

Brent oil prices drifted lower in Asian trade on Tuesday as investors assessed risks of a supply disruption after Iran conducted naval drills near the Strait of Hormuz ahead of nuclear talks with the US later in the day.

Brent crude futures were down 0.86 per cent, or 59 cents, at $68.06 a barrel at 07:38 GMT, following a 1.33pc gain on Monday.

US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $63.21 a barrel, up 32 cents, or 0.51pc, but the move included all of Monday’s price action as the contract did not have a settlement that day due to the Presidents Day holiday in the US.

Many markets are closed on Tuesday for Lunar New Year holidays, including mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, South Korea, and Singapore.

US President Donald Trump said on Monday that he would be involved “indirectly” in the talks in Geneva, adding he believes Tehran wants to make a deal.

US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner will take part in the negotiations, which are being mediated by Oman, a source briefed on the matter told Reuters, alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi.

“Market sentiment is closely tied to the tone and progress of these negotiations … sustaining a geopolitical risk premium in prices,” said Sugandha Sachdeva, founder of SS WealthStreet, a New Delhi-based research firm.

Oil prices are therefore likely to stay volatile, with sharp two-way swings driven by diplomatic signals rather than pure demand-supply fundamentals, Sachdeva added.

Iran began a military drill on Monday in the Strait of Hormuz, a vital international waterway and oil export route from Gulf Arab states, which have been appealing for diplomacy to end the dispute.

Iran, along with fellow Organizsation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) members Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, and Iraq, export most of their crude via the strait, mainly to Asia.

Meanwhile, Citi said if disruptions to Russian supply keep Brent in a $65 to $70 per barrel range in the coming months, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and 10 other major oil-producing nations (Opec+) are likely to respond by increasing output from spare capacity.

Opec+ is leaning towards a resumption in oil output increases from April, three Opec+ sources said, as the group prepares for peak summer demand and with prices bolstered by US-Iran tensions.

“It is our base case that both Iran and Russia-Ukraine deals happen by or during the summer of this year, contributing to a decline in prices to $60-62/barrel Brent,” Citi said.

Ukrainian and Russian officials are set to meet in Geneva on Tuesday and Wednesday for a new round of US-brokered peace talks, which the Kremlin said would likely focus on territory, the main sticking point.

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Business

Power firms seek Rs1.78 more for January

Published

6 hours ago

February 19, 2026

hussainbinnoman3@gmail.com

ISLAMABAD: After a period of relative stability, power companies have sought additional fuel cost charges of over Rs1.78 per unit from consumers across the country in March bills, as demand appeared to pick up and power generators returned to furnace oil.

The Central Power Purchasing Agency (CPPA) demanded a higher fuel cost on account of power consumed in January, even though almost 60 per cent of the power was generated from domestic, cheaper sources. Electricity consumption was reported to be around 12pc higher than the same month last year and 8pc higher than December 2025.

Once approved, the power companies would charge an additional amount of about Rs16bn to consumers of all the power companies, including ex-Wapda Distribution Companies (Discos) and K-Electric, in the billing month of March. The National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (Nepra) has called a public hearing on February 26 to examine the request for fuel cost adjustment (FCA).

The CPPA, which filed the petition for a higher FCA for January consumption, said the power consumption was around 12.1pc higher than the same month of the previous year and about 8pc higher than the previous month, December 2025. The power companies have claimed an average fuel cost of Rs12.18 per unit for January 2026, compared to Rs11.03 per unit of the same month of the previous year and almost Rs2.56 per unit higher than Rs9.62 per unit in December 2025.

CPPA demands higher fuel charges citing 12pc increase in demand

The CPPA reported that 8,762 billion units (gigawatt hours) of electricity were delivered to Discos in January.

The power companies have claimed that the average fuel cost amounted to Rs12.18 per unit in January, against a pre-approved reference fuel cost of Rs10.395 per unit. There is a need for an additional FCA of about Rs1.78 per unit.

The CPPA said about 9,140GWh of electricity was generated in January at an estimated fuel expenditure of Rs106.4bn (Rs11.64 per unit), of which 8,762GWh of energy was delivered to Discos for Rs106.7bn (Rs12.18 per unit), leading to a higher fuel cost over what was already charged to consumers in December bills. Regasified Liquefied Natural Gas (RLNG)- based power generation accounted for the largest share of the grid’s fuel, with almost 22pc.

This was followed by nuclear power with its 17.5pc share. Traditional hydropower generation dipped to just 8pc in the wake of the annual canal closure for maintenance. Third position was secured by imported coal, with a 17.28pc share, followed by local coal with a 15.4pc share.

The share of local gas-based generation stood at 12pc in January, up from 11pc in December. Furnace oil-based generation revived to 3pc, although the fuel has been officially phased out.

Furnace oil-based generation was the most expensive at Rs33.55 per unit, followed by Rs20 per unit from RLNG, Rs13.5 per unit from imported coal, Rs12.74 per unit from local gas, and Rs11.63 per unit from local coal. There was no power generation from high-speed diesel.

The nuclear fuel cost amounted to Rs2.23 per unit in January. The three renewable energy sources — wind, bagasse and solar — together contributed a 4.55pc share to the grid. Wind and solar have no fuel costs, while bagasse-based plants had a fuel cost of Rs10.39 per unit, with just 1.11pc contribution to the grid. Electricity imports from Iran accounted for 0.38pc of the total, with a fuel cost of Rs22.06 per unit.

Published in Dawn, February 19th, 2026

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Business

Foreign direct investment plunges 41pc to $981 million

Published

7 hours ago

February 19, 2026

hussainbinnoman3@gmail.com

KARACHI: Foreign direct investment (FDI) plunged year-on-year by 41 per cent in the first seven months of 2025-26.

Data issued by the State Bank on Wednesday showed that the confidence of foreign investors further declined compared to the previous year, as their investment during July-January FY26 fell to $981 million from $1.660 billion in the same period of the previous fiscal year.

Experts believe foreign investment will remain under pressure, as the regional situation is not conducive to foreign investors, and the country is also facing terrorism.

The government is struggling to attract foreign investors but failed to achieve any positive results. The State Bank data showed that the highest FDI inflows came from China at $495.5m; however, this was lower than last year’s $857m.

Other significant inflows were from Hong Kong ($188.4m), the UAE ($126m), and Switzerland ($124m).

The inflow of FDI improved in January, reaching $173.3m, but the largest inflow this month was from China, contributing $73m.

However, the largest outflow was to Norway, with disinvestment totalling $365m during the July-January period.

Published in Dawn, February 19th, 2026

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