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Claim about Pakistan paying interest on external loans of up to 8pc is ‘misleading’: finance ministry

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The Ministry of Finance on Sunday dismissed claims that Pakistan was paying up to eight per cent interest on external loans as “misleading,” clarifying that public external debt interest outflows rose by 80.4 per cent between fiscal years 2022 and 2025, not 84pc.

The ministry issued a clarification in response to “recent press commentary” on Pakistan’s external debt, saying the figures cited needed context to provide an “accurate and comprehensive understanding” of the country’s debt and interest payments.

“Pakistan’s total external debt and liabilities currently stand at $138 billion. This figure, however, encompasses a broad range of obligations, including public and publicly guaranteed debt, debt of public sector enterprises (both guaranteed and non-guaranteed), bank borrowings, private-sector external debt, and intercompany liabilities to direct investors,” the statement said.

“It is therefore important to distinguish this aggregate figure from external public (government) debt, which amounts to approximately $92bn,” it added.

It said that of total external public debt, nearly 75pc comprised “concessional and long-term financing” obtained from multilateral institutions (excluding the International Monetary Fund) and bilateral development partners.

Only about 7pc of this debt consists of commercial loans, while another 7pc relates to long-term Eurobonds, it added.

“In light of this composition, the claim that Pakistan is paying interest on external loans of ‘up to 8pc’ is misleading. The overall average cost of external public debt is approximately 4pc, reflecting the predominantly concessional nature of the borrowing portfolio,” it stated

With respect to interest payments, it clarified that public external debt interest outflows increased from $1.99bn in fiscal year 2022 to $3.59bn in fiscal year 2025, representing an increase of 80.4pc, not 84pc as reported.

“In absolute terms, interest payments rose by $1.60bn over this period, not $1.67bn.”

The finance ministry also referred to the State Bank of Pakistan’s records, saying the total debt servicing payments to specific creditors during the period under reference were as follows: the IMF received $1.50bn, of which $580 million constituted interest; Naya Pakistan Certificates payments totaled $1.56bn, including $94m in interest; the Asian Development Bank received $1.54bn, including $615m in interest; the World Bank received $1.25bn, including $419m in interest; and external commercial loans amounted to nearly $3bn, of which $327m represented interest payments.

“While interest payments have increased in absolute terms, this rise cannot be attributed solely to an expansion in the debt stock.

Although the overall debt stock has increased slightly since fiscal year 2022, the additional inflows have primarily originated from concessional multilateral sources and the IMF’s Extended Fund Facility (EFF) under the ongoing IMF-supported programme,” it maintained.

The finance ministry said that during 2022–23, Pakistan had faced heightened balance of payments pressures, which led to foreign exchange reserves falling below one month of import cover.

“In response, the government entered into an IMF EFF arrangement and mobilised financing from multilateral and other concessional partners. These measures played a critical role in rebuilding foreign exchange reserves and strengthening the country’s external account position.”

It further said that the increase in interest payments reflected prevailing global interest rate dynamics.

“In response to the inflation surge of 2021–22, the US Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate from 0.75-1.00pc in May 2022 to 5.25–5.50pc by July 2023.

Although rates have since moderated to around 3.75 pc, they remain significantly higher than 2022 levels. This global monetary tightening has kept international borrowing costs elevated and contributed to higher external interest payments,” the finance ministry said.

It concluded that the government remained committed to prudent debt management, transparency, and the continued strengthening of Pakistan’s macroeconomic stability.

“Accurate representation of debt statistics is essential to informed public discourse, and stakeholders are encouraged to consider the full context of Pakistan’s external debt structure and evolving global financial conditions.”



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Wheat procurement price fixed at Rs3,500

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ISLAMABAD: The federal government has set an illustrative wheat procurement price at Rs3,500 per 40 kilograms and has sensitised the provinces to ensure the smooth implementation of the procurement drive during the upcoming harvesting season.

The current procurement framework will remain applicable for one year, as the federal government is working on a comprehensive long-term wheat policy for 2026-2030, aimed at strengthening national food security through modern reforms, Minister for National Food Security and Research Rana Tanveer Hussain said while chairing a meeting of the national wheat oversight committee on Saturday.

Mr Tanveer highlighted that the upcoming policy will focus on digital traceability mechanisms, improved supply chain monitoring, enhanced transparency, and sustained price stability, enabling better coordination between the federal and provincial governments.

Reaffirming the government’s commitment to safeguarding food security, the minister stated that coordinated federal-provincial efforts will continue to ensure stable wheat availability, protect farmers’ interests, and maintain affordable prices for consumers across the country.

Senior officials of the federal and provincial governments gave detailed briefings on procurement preparedness, stock positions, and supply management strategies ahead of the upcoming harvesting season.

During the meeting, provinces shared updates on their respective procurement strategies. The Khyber Pakhtun­khwa government has adopted a hybrid wheat procurement model comprising 75 per cent public sector participation and 25pc private sector involvement to enhance efficiency and market responsiveness.

The Sindh government informed the committee that wheat procurement will be carried out through the public sector to ensure a stable supply and price management.

The committee was informed that adequate wheat stocks are currently available in all provinces to meet national consumption requirements until the arrival of the new crop. The federal government reiterated that there is no risk of wheat shortage in Pakistan, and coordinated measures are in place to ensure an uninterrupted supply across markets.

Special emphasis was also placed on consumer protection during the holy month of Ramazan. The minister directed all provinces to ensure strict market monitoring and take effective administrative measures to prevent any unnecessary increase in flour prices.

Published in Dawn, February 22nd, 2026



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Stocks slide below 174,000 mark in volatile week

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KARACHI: The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) endured a fourth difficult week as geopolitical strains between the United States and Iran, compounded by domestic political noise, triggered a significant sell-off, pushing the KSE-100 index below the 174,000-point level.

The index closed at 173,170 points, down 6,434 points, or 3.6 per cent week-on-week, marking a sharp correction from its January peak of 189,167. This represents a decline of 8.5 per cent from that high.

According to Topline Securities, foreign corporates were the primary sellers, offloading equities worth $26-28 million during the week. This foreign outflow overshadowed the buying by individuals and banks, which made net purchases of $14.4m and $12.1m, respectively.

Trading activity also slowed as Ramadan approached, with average daily volumes falling 22-24 per cent week-on-week to 654-831 million shares. The average traded value dropped 12 per cent to $134m, according to AKD Securities.

Sector-wise, Arif Habib Ltd noted that banks led the decline, contributing 1,044 points to the fall, followed by fertilisers (931 points), cement (814 points), investment banks (599 points), and oil marketing companies (509 points). Key negative contributors included Fauji Fertiliser Company, Engro Holdings, Pakistan State Oil, Lucky Cement, and Pioneer Cement.

Foreign selling and geopolitical strains weigh on sentiment

While the stock market faced a battering, several economic indicators offered a glimmer of support. The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) reported that the country posted a current account surplus of $121m in January, reversing a deficit of $265m in December 2025 and $393m in January 2025. However, during the first seven months of FY26, the current account remained in deficit at $1.07bn, compared to a surplus of $564m in the same period last year.

According to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS), the trade deficit for January stood at $2.76bn. Exports rose by 3.5pc year-on-year to $3.1bn, driven by a 34.8pc month-on-month increase, while imports declined by 1pc annually and 4.4pc month-on-month to $5.8bn. The cumulative trade deficit widened by 28.4pc to $22.1bn in 7MFY26.

The SBP reported that foreign direct investment (FDI) recorded an inflow of $173m in January, reversing a $135m outflow in December. However, cumulative FDI in 7MFY26 fell 41pc year-on-year to $981m.

On the industrial front, the PBS stated that large-scale manufacturing (LSM) output edged up 0.4pc year-on-year in December 2025, with a 9.3pc month-on-month increase. For the first half of FY26, LSM expanded 4.8pc, led by growth in the automobile and textile

sectors.

Auto financing showed continued growth, rising 35.8pc year-on-year to Rs328bn in January, while it increased 2.8pc on month-on-month. However, fertiliser offtake dropped by 48pc year-on-year in January, driven by high channel inventories following advance procurement in the prior month, as noted by Arif Habib Ltd.

Power generation increased 12pc year-on-year to 9,140 gigawatt hours (GWh) in January, with cumulative output in 7MFY26 reaching 76,496 GWh, up 2pc from the same period last year, according to AHL.

The SBP’s liquid foreign exchange reserves rose by $19m to $16.2bn as of Feb 13. The rupee remained largely stable, appreciating by 0.02pc week-on-week to close at Rs279.56 to the dollar. The real effective exchange rate stood at 103.29 in December, a 0.42pc decline from the previous month but a 5.37pc increase in FY26 to date.

In the petroleum sector, PBS reported that high-speed diesel prices increased by Rs7.32 per litre to Rs275.70, while the petroleum levy remained unchanged at Rs76.21 per litre.

Roshan Digital Account (RDA) remittance inflows reached $11.92bn by the end of January, with $1.97bn repatriated and $7.66bn used locally, leaving a net repatriable liability of $2.3bn. Cumulative inflows crossed the $12bn mark in February, according to SBP.

Other notable developments included a Rs5 per kilowatt-hour reduction in industrial power tariffs, a 19pc year-on-year increase in IT exports in January, and a 1.3pc rise in textile exports during 7MFY26.

Analysts are cautious but hopeful about the market’s near-term direction. AKD Securities believes that geopolitical developments and the outcome of the upcoming IMF review mission, due to arrive next week, will be crucial in determining investor sentiment. Additionally, the corporate results season may offer some upside, especially if earnings surpass expectations.

Currently, the KSE-100 index is trading at an attractive price-to-earnings ratio of 8.7 times, offering a dividend yield of approximately 5.6pc.

Published in Dawn, February 22nd, 2026



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Jura Energy faces regulatory scrutiny

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ISLAMABAD: As the Ministry of Energy has initiated proceedings against Jura Energy Corporation for allegedly failing to comply with Pakistani laws, a new development has surfaced relating to a change in the foreign firm’s ownership and directors.

Acting on directives of the Islamabad High Court to initiate action against the company for non-compliance with petroleum concession agreements, parti­cularly concerning changes in directors without prior approval from the relevant authorities, the Directorate General of Petroleum Concessions (DGPC) has sought an opinion from the law ministry on the course of action to be taken against Frontier Holdings Ltd (FHL) and Spud Energy Ltd, subsidiaries of Jura Energy.

Meanwhile, fresh infor­mation indicates that share­­holders have initiated proceedings before Onta­rio’s Commer­cial List, Canada, against Jura Energy, accusing its leadership of governance failures that allegedly placed the company’s entire business at risk.

The lawsuit alleges that Jura’s directors permitted a transfer of effective corporate control without securing the mandatory approvals required under local petroleum laws, despite knowing that the company’s survival depends entirely on petroleum concessions held in Pakistan through its subsidiaries FHL and Spud Energy.

Published in Dawn, February 22nd, 2026



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