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Oil rises as expanding US-Israeli conflict with Iran elevates supply risks – Business

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Oil prices rose for a third day on Tuesday as the widening US-Israeli conflict with Iran and threats to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz heightened fears of supply disruptions from the key Middle East producing region.

Brent crude futures were at $79.44 a barrel, up $1.70, or 2.2 per cent, by 04:00 GMT. On Monday, the contract surged to as high as $82.37, its highest since January 2025, though it pared those gains to settle 6.7pc higher.

US West Texas Intermediate crude jumped $1.17, or 1.6pc, to $72.40 a barrel. In the previous session, the contract initially climbed to its highest since June 2025 before sliding back to still settle up 6.3pc.

“With no quick de-escalation in sight, the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed and Iran showing a willingness to target energy infrastructure in the region, upside risks remain and they grow the longer the conflict drags on,” Tony Sycamore, ING market analyst, said in a note.

The US and Israeli air war against Iran widened on Monday with Israel attacking Lebanon and Iran responding with strikes against energy infrastructure in Gulf countries and against tankers in the Strait of Hormuz.

Tankers and container ships are also avoiding the waterway as insurers have cancelled their coverage for vessels, while global oil and gas shipping rates have soared. Concerns about transiting the waterway increased after Iranian media reported on Monday that a senior Iranian Revolutionary Guards official said the Strait of Hormuz is closed and warned Iran will fire on any ship trying to pass.

About 20pc of the world’s oil and gas passes through the Strait of Hormuz.

“The market continues to digest the risk of escalation in the Middle East,” said ING analysts in a Tuesday note.

“While there are concerns about oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, a greater risk to the market would be Iran targeting additional energy infrastructure in the region. This could lead to more prolonged outages.”

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu claimed on Monday that the US and Israel’s war against Iran may take “some time,” but it will not take years.

Analysts expect oil prices to remain elevated over the coming days while markets focus on the impact of escalating Middle East conflict.

Bernstein on Monday raised its 2026 Brent oil price assumption from $65 to $80 a barrel, but sees prices reaching $120-$150 in an extreme case of prolonged conflict.

Refined product futures are also gaining as the Middle East is a key supplier of fuels, and their processing facilities are at risk. On Monday, Saudi Arabia shut its biggest domestic oil refinery after a drone strike.

US ultra-low-sulfur diesel futures were up 4.2pc at $3.0207 per gallon after reaching a two-year high on Monday, while gasoline futures were up 1.7pc at $2.4113 per gallon after climbing 3.7pc in the previous session.

European gasoil futures gained 4.3pc to $925 a metric ton, after climbing 18pc on Monday.



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KSE-100 rallies after Monday’s largest single-session decline – Business

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Pakistan’s benchmark stock index, the KSE-100, was trading in the green, up 1273.32 points by 11:55am on Tuesday, following the largest single-session decline in the bourse’s history on Monday

This comes after the index had surged 3,000.76 points by 9:50am, gaining 1.97 per cent from its previous close of 151,972.99 points and marking a significant rebound from yesterday’s drop of more than 16,000 points.

The recovery followed brief early volatility, with the benchmark slipping 700 points into the red at 9:16am.

Investors are now watching to see whether volatility persists amid geopolitical uncertainty. In particular, the assassination of Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader, in airstrikes by the United States and Israel has destabilised the Middle East, triggered a rout in global equity markets, and fuelled a surge in oil and gas prices.

The developments have heightened fears of supply disruptions as Tehran retaliates.

Topline Research noted that given the evolving nature of the conflict and the involvement of multiple countries, volatility may continue until the situation stabilises.

So far, trading volumes have remained healthy at 112,224,609 with a value of 8,762,351,732.



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Gold extends gains as Middle East war prompts flight to safety – Business

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Gold prices rose for a fifth consecutive session on Tuesday as investors sought safe-haven assets amid an escalating US and Israeli air war against Iran, raising fears the conflict could spiral into a protracted regional war and deepen uncertainty.

Spot gold was up 0.7 per cent at $5,362.90 per ounce, as of 04:52 GMT. In the previous session, bullion climbed to its highest point in more than four weeks after the US and Israel launched strikes on Iran over the weekend.

US gold futures for April delivery were up 1.2pc at $5,376.50.

“The scope and duration of the conflict remain very much open-ended, and with those uncertainties in play, gold is capturing the lion’s share of safe-haven demand,” KCM Trade chief market analyst Tim Waterer said.

Iranian media reported that a senior official from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said on Monday that the Strait of Hormuz has been closed and warned that Iran would fire on any ship trying to pass through the strategic waterway.

This is Iran’s most explicit warning since telling ships it was closing the export route on Saturday, a move that threatens to choke a fifth of global oil flows and send crude prices sharply higher.

The dollar hovered close to a more than five-week high reached on Monday, supported by firm demand and cautious market sentiment.

While a firmer greenback typically makes dollar-denominated assets such as bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies, that inverse relationship is not absolute. In times of heightened uncertainty, such as escalating conflict or broader market volatility, investors often buy both the dollar and gold as safe-haven assets.

“Gold would arguably be trading higher than current levels were it not for dollar appreciation since the conflict intensified. Inflation worries are front and centre for traders right now, given the direction of oil prices and reduced shipping volumes through the Strait of Hormuz,” Waterer added.

US President Donald Trump has vowed to pursue the conflict for as long as necessary and warned of a “big wave” of further attacks coming soon, without providing specific details.

The attack on Iran has pitched the Gulf into war, killing scores of civilians in Iran, Israel, and Lebanon, thrown global air transport into chaos, and shut down shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

Spot silver edged 0.2pc higher to $89.64 per ounce on Tuesday, after climbing to a more than four-week high in the previous session.

Spot platinum added 0.3pc to $2,297.05 per ounce, while palladium gained 1pc to $1,784.81.



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KSE-100 gains over 3,000 points after Monday’s largest single-session decline – Business

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Pakistan’s benchmark stock index, the KSE-100, was trading in the green, up 3,000.76 points by 9:50am on Tuesday, following the largest single-session decline in the bourse’s history on Monday.

The index had gained 1.97 per cent from its previous close of 151,972.99 points, marking a significant rebound after yesterday’s drop of more than 16,000 points.

Investors are now watching to see whether volatility persists amid geopolitical uncertainty. In particular, the assassination of Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader, in airstrikes by the United States and Israel has destabilised the Middle East, triggered a rout in global equity markets, and fuelled a surge in oil and gas prices.

The developments have heightened fears of supply disruptions as Tehran retaliates.

Topline Research noted that given the evolving nature of the conflict and the involvement of multiple countries, volatility may continue until the situation stabilises.

So far, trading volumes have remained healthy at 112,224,609 with a value of 8,762,351,732.



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