Business
Agriculture: Another year, another cane crisis
While the Sindh government has recently announced its intent to procure wheat for the 2025-26 season, it seemed indecisive about fixing sugarcane’s rate, apparently in view of the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) loan programme conditions. The IMF calls for improving the private-sector business environment by removing state-created distortions, ensuring a level playing field, and streamlining subsidies.
The date for the commencement of sugarcane crushing, however, had been notified by the Sindh agriculture department as November 15. However, reports indicated that several mills had not fired their boilers until November 21. “There are no indications as to what price the mills are going to offer to farmers,” said Zubair Talpur, Sindh Abadgar Ittehad (SAI) President. His sugarcane fields are located in the Umerkot district.
The government didn’t fix sugarcane prices last year. It appears to be in a fix regarding notifying the indicative price of sugarcane, amid farmers’ growing expectations that, since the wheat support price is likely to be announced, sugarcane’s rate should also be notified. The government has argued that the wheat support price will be fixed to support farmers and domestic wheat cultivation, thereby lessening reliance on grain imports.
Sindh Chamber of Agriculture (SCA) senior vice president Nabi Bux Sathio has even approached the IMF by way of email, addressed to the IMF’s country head stationed in Islamabad. Mr Sathio has drawn the institution’s attention towards the issues of sugarcane and its producers. He has also requested clarification on whether the IMF has, in fact, restrained federal and provincial governments from fixing sugarcane prices.
Farmers are disappointed about the delay in the crushing season amid the current lack of a sugarcane price
Sugarcane is grown on approximately 790,000 acres in Sindh. The very land was also brought under wheat cultivation by growers, which is why farmers contend that mills should start crushing cane so that its procurement by mills picks up pace. Wheat sowing would also be delayed to a considerable extent if sugarcane harvesting remained pending.
Though the Sindh agriculture department convened a meeting of the Sugarcane Control Board on November 4, no representatives from the Pakistan Sugar Mills Association attended, and the meeting was adjourned without taking any decision regarding a crushing rate or commencement date. It wasn’t until November 19, when the provincial cabinet met, that November 15 was approved as the start date for cane crushing.
Farmers’ bodies have been demanding a price of Rs600 per 40kg for sugarcane in view of trends surrounding sugar’s retail price in the open market. Mr Sathio mentioned in his email to the IMF chief that by March 2025, the ex-mill rate of sugar started showing an upward trend, and currently the retail price stands at Rs225-Rs230 per kg in major cities across Pakistan. Therefore, one could easily see that the ex-mill price would hover around Rs200 per kg.
The Sindh Agriculture Research department, in view of the increase in input costs, has recommended a price of Rs545 per 40kg
The Sindh Agriculture Research department has calculated sugarcane costs at Rs321,000 an acre against last year’s Rs295,000 — up by Rs26,000. The department, in view of the increase in farmers’ input costs, has recommended to the Sugarcane Control Board a price of Rs545 per 40kg. The department’s Director General of Research, Dr Mazhar Keerio, said that the cane crop remained, by and large, healthy, with growers in Tando Mohammad Khan and Badin districts complaining of weak crops due to the unavailability of irrigation water.
Moreover, sugar millers are a powerful stakeholder in the sugarcane sector, and that’s why it is described as a ‘political crop and industry’ in the country. From the farmers’ viewpoint, sugar factory owners have historically been comfortable dictating their terms at the governmental level regarding price fixation, thus cornering farmers.
The size of sugar factories has grown considerably in the country. Sugarcane — a high delta crop — has encroached upon rich cotton zones in Punjab and Sindh. It is in Rahim Yar Khan, in Punjab’s southern part, with six factories, and in Ghotki, Sindh, on the left bank of the Indus River, where such growth is easily noticeable.
This has left the cotton crop struggling to regain its lost ground. Thirty-eight sugar mills exist in Sindh, and one more is likely to start crushing this season in upper Sindh, bringing the total to 39, provided it begins its trial.
As it stands, the Sugar Factories Control Act (Sindh Amendment) Act 2009 binds sugar factories to commence crushing no later than November 30. In the pre-amended Act, the law’s clause 2(h) calls for the ‘start’ of the crushing season to begin on October 1 in any year and end on June 30.
Now, taking advantage of this legal provision, the millers feel free to delay the crushing season until mid-December, with no one having the courage to question them for the belated commencement of crushing. As growers rush to free their farmland from sugarcane to plant wheat on time, they agree to the rates offered by millers. Wheat sowing in lower Sindh, even otherwise, begins in November and in some pockets by late October.
Since the timely availability of irrigation water for wheat cultivation remains an impediment to growers in many areas, they tend to avoid holding sugarcane crops in the field for an extended period for want of a higher price. Still, they hope that crushing will begin by the fourth week of November, as it is a legal obligation on the millers as well.
Published in Dawn, The Business and Finance Weekly, November 24th, 2025
Business
ADB approves $381m for 3 projects concerning agriculture, education and health services in Punjab – Pakistan
The Asian Development Bank on Saturday approved three projects totalling $381 million concerning agriculture, education and health services in Punjab.
According to a press release, the development projects are aimed at fostering economic growth in the province.
“Investing in education, health, and agricultural mechanisation will play a transformative role in driving the growth of Punjab, a vital pillar of Pakistan’s economy,“ ADB Country Director for Pakistan Emma Fan was quoted as saying.
“These strategic investments will modernise agriculture, enhance human capital, and significantly improve livelihoods for millions of people across Punjab,” she said.
According to the handout, a $120 million concessional loan and $4 million grant have been allocated for the Punjab Climate-Resilient and Low-Carbon Agriculture Mechanisation Project to accelerate the province’s transition to modern, disaster-resilient, and low-carbon agriculture practices, benefiting 220,000 rural farm households.
“The project will help mechanise farming and provide alternative livelihoods for agricultural workers, including through boosting the knowledge and skills of 15,000 women. It will introduce a new financing model for farm mechanisation service providers to equip small-scale farmers with advanced machinery,” the ADB said.
The Bank also approved $107m for the Responsive, Ready, and Resilient Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics Secondary Education in Punjab Programme.
“This includes a $7m grant from ADB’s Asian Development Fund and a $100m loan from ADB’s ordinary concessional capital resources. The results-based programme aims to modernise secondary education by enhancing inclusive science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) education across Punjab. The project, implemented by the Punjab School Education Department, will improve access to quality education for students across the province,” it said.
Further, the ADB approved a $150m concessional loan for the Punjab Nursing and Health Workforce Reform Programme to enhance nursing education, develop disaster-resilient training facilities, and strengthen health workforce governance in Punjab.
It noted that Pakistan faced a shortage of qualified nurses while the global demand for trained nurses was growing.
“Modernising the nursing sector will meet national and international demands. The results-based programme will focus on upgrading nursing curricula, expanding faculty development initiatives, and implementing a digital human resource management information system to align workforce planning with healthcare service needs. By expanding the pool of qualified nurses, predominantly women, the program will improve health service delivery across the province,” it said.
It said that key components of the nursing programme included the establishment of three centres of excellence in Lahore, Multan, and Rawalpindi.
“These centres will feature state-of-the-art simulation laboratories, digital learning platforms, and gender-responsive hostels, addressing Punjab’s demand for skilled healthcare workforce capable of meeting growing local needs and employment opportunities abroad,” it said.
Business
IMF’s Executive Board to meet on Dec 8 to approve disbursement of $1.2bn to Pakistan – Business
The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Executive Board will meet on December 8 (Monday) to approve $1.2 billion in loans to Pakistan.
The IMF had reached a staff-level agreement with Pakistan on its loan programmes in October after extensive talks were held in Karachi, Islamabad and Washington from September 24 to October 8.
The agreement still requires approval from IMF’s Executive Board before funds can be released.
If approved, it would unlock about $1.2 billion in fresh financing for the country; roughly $1 billion under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and another $200 million under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF).
The IMF confirmed the date of the meeting in a brief announcement on Friday. The official calendar posted on the IMF website also showed the Executive Board would review Pakistan’s loan programmes.
Negotiations between Islamabad and the lending agency, led by IMF mission chief Iva Petrova, had focused on Pakistan’s fiscal performance, monetary stance, structural reforms and progress on climate-related commitments.
In its earlier assessment, the IMF noted that Pakistan had made “strong progress” in fiscal consolidation, reducing inflation and strengthening external buffers. It also acknowledged the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) continued tight monetary policy, which has played a key role in anchoring inflation expectations.
Structural reforms — especially those related to state-owned enterprises, energy-sector viability, competition and public-service delivery — were cited as areas where the authorities had demonstrated continued commitment.
The Fund also pointed to advances under the RSF-supported climate agenda, including efforts to enhance resilience to natural disasters, strengthen water-resource management and improve the country’s climate-information systems.
These reforms have taken on greater urgency following recent floods that caused widespread damage to agriculture, infrastructure and livelihoods.
Approval of the reviews is widely expected to bolster investor confidence at a critical moment, as Pakistan continues to stabilise its economy amid external pressures and the lingering effects of flood damage.
Islamabad has been under sustained pressure to maintain fiscal discipline, accelerate energy-sector reforms and continue revenue-mobilisation measures to ensure longer-term stability.
The IMF has warned, however, that risks remain elevated. The economic outlook has been tempered by flood-related losses, and the Fund has emphasised that monetary policy must remain “appropriately tight and data-dependent” to keep inflation within the SBP’s target range.
It has also stressed the need for steady implementation of reforms to strengthen competition, enhance productivity, improve public services and reduce persistent vulnerabilities in the energy sector.
If the Board grants its approval on December 8, Pakistan could receive the disbursement as early as the following day.
Officials in Islamabad hope the inflow will reinforce external buffers, support economic recovery and signal continued international confidence in the government’s reform agenda.
Key report released ahead of meeting
Ahead of the meeting, the IMF released its long-awaited Governance and Corruption Diagnostic Assessment (GCDA), in which it highlighted persistent corruption challenges in Pakistan driven by systemic weaknesses across state institutions and demanded immediate initiation of a 15-point reform agenda to improve transparency, fairness and integrity.
The report, publication of which is a precondition for the IMF Executive Board’s approval of the loan programmes, estimated that Pakistan could boost economic growth by about 5 to 6.5 per cent over five years if it implements a package of governance reforms beginning within the next three to six months.
The report led to criticism of the government, and opposition parties called for a probe into the “worst financial scandal of Pakistan’s history”.
However, Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb stated last week that the report was “not criticism” but a “catalyst for accelerating long-overdue reforms”.
He maintained that the report acknowledged significant progress in sectors including taxation and governance, and that many of its priority recommendations were “already work in progress”.
The finance minister further said the government was committed to implementing the remaining recommendations as part of broader institutional reforms essential to sustaining Pakistan’s economic turnaround.
Business
Edible oil, wheat flour fuel SPI – Business
ISLAMABAD: Short-term inflation, measured by the Sensitive Price Index (SPI), increased four per cent year-on-year in the week ending Dec 4, owing to an increase in the retail price of edible oil and wheat flour in the domestic market.
The SPI-based inflation has been on an upward trend for the past 18 consecutive weeks. A surge in the prices of perishable products, LPG cylinders, and electricity mainly drives the increase.
It, however, declined by 0.64pc from the previous week due to a slight decline in prices of tomatoes, potatoes and onions, official data showed on Friday.
The prices of tomatoes, onions, and potatoes rose sharply due to supply disruptions caused by the closure of the border with Afghanistan. The extraordinary spike in the retail prices of sugar and meat also contributed to fuel the short-term inflation.
The weekly inflation hit a record 48.35pc year-on-year in early May 2023, but then decelerated to 24.4pc in late August 2023 before surging past 40pc during the week ending Nov 16, 2023.
The items whose prices increased the most over the previous week included LPG (3.50pc), garlic (1.86pc), cooking oil 5 litre (1.54pc), eggs (0.81pc), bread (0.57pc), vegetable ghee 1 kg (0.40pc), powdered milk (0.36pc), bananas and wheat flour (0.28pc) each and cigarettes (0.25pc).
The items whose prices saw a decline week-on-week included tomatoes (30.11pc), onions (12.41pc), potatoes (6.92pc), chicken (4.46pc), sugar (3.31pc), diesel (1.67pc), pulse gram (1.55pc), pulse masoor (1.33pc), gur (1pc) and petrol (0.73pc).
However, on an annual basis, the items whose prices increased the most included sugar (37.49pc), gas charges for Q1 (29.85pc), wheat flour (17.50pc), gur (15.06pc), beef (13.47pc), firewood (12.59pc), bananas (11.06pc), powdered milk (9.03pc), diesel (8.42pc), lawn printed (8.29pc), cooking oil 5 litre (8.19pc) and vegetable ghee 2.5 kg (7.59pc).
In contrast, the prices of potatoes dropped 40.47pc, followed by garlic (38.51pc), tomatoes (31.51pc), onions (29.87pc), pulse gram (29.54pc), tea Lipton (17.79pc), pulse mash (13.82pc), electricity charges for Q1 (8.40pc) and salt powder (5.13pc).
Published in Dawn, December 6th, 2025
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