Business
FBR misses collection target by Rs429bn in eight months – Business
ISLAMABAD: The Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) missed its projected collection target by a staggering Rs429 billion during the first eight months of 2025-26.
However, the collection recorded an 11 per cent increase to Rs8.121 trillion during July-February FY26, compared with Rs7.334tr raised in the same period last year, according to provisional figures released on Saturday.
The FBR had set a revenue collection target of Rs8.550tr for 8MFY26. The revenue shortfall is primarily attributed to a slowdown in domestic sales tax collection, suspension of super tax and several other factors.
The February collection grew by 12pc to Rs944bn from Rs844bn in the corresponding month last year. However, the collection fell short of the monthly target of Rs1.029tr by Rs85 bn.
Records 11pc YoY rise to Rs8.121tr; income, sales tax collection falls
The IMF, in its last review, has already revised down the FBR’s annual tax collection target by Rs150bn.
In FY25, the FBR missed its collection target by nearly Rs163bn, even after two downward revisions and raised Rs11.737tr against the revised target of Rs11.900tr. However, the collection reflects a year-on-year growth of 26.19pc from Rs9.301tr in FY24.
The FBR issued Rs386bn in refunds and rebates to taxpayers during 8MFY26, up from Rs352bn a year earlier, an increase of 9.65pc.
Income tax collection reached Rs3.956tr during 8MFY26, recording a shortfall of Rs142bn against the Rs4.098tr target. However, a 12pc increase was recorded compared to Rs3.525tr in the corresponding period last year.
Similarly, the sales tax collection totalled Rs2.783tr, recording a shortfall of Rs245bn against the Rs3.028tr projection, though it marked a 10pc rise over last year’s Rs2.530tr. Customs duty collection stood at Rs850bn, against the Rs898bn target, resulting in a shortfall of Rs48bn. However, it grew by 5pc compared to Rs813bn last year.
In contrast, the Federal Excise Duty collection reached Rs532bn, surpassing the projected target of Rs526bn and growing by 14pc from last year’s Rs467bn.
According to the FBR, income tax collection will improve further once the super tax is collected. This improved revenue collection performance is not incidental but reflects the structural impact of the FBR’s reforms, especially its enhanced enforcement measures and its coordinated effort to realise revenue stuck in litigation.
The improvement in large-scale manufacturing (LSM) production, a very positive and encouraging development, will help raise maximum sales tax collection in the upcoming months.
By leveraging digital infrastructure and the collection through enforcement measures, the FBR is improving compliance, expanding and deepening the tax net, and fostering taxpayer trust. This performance in direct taxes signals emerging behavioural shifts toward greater voluntary compliance, with potential spill-over benefits in the coming months.
FBR vows to collect due taxes
Federal Board of Revenue Chairman Rashid Mahmood Langrial said on Saturday that genuine hardship cases would receive special consideration, but stressed that all legally due taxes would be collected under any circumstances.
The chairman further said that tax evasion would not be tolerated. He was speaking with an 18-member delegation from the Islamabad Chamber of Commerce and Industry (ICCI), led by its President, Sardar Tahir Mahmood, at the FBR headquarters.
The delegation discussed key taxation issues faced by the business community in the federal capital.
During the meeting, the ICCI delegation apprised the FBR chairman of various challenges confronting businesses in the capital, including issues related to super tax, tax refunds, point-of-sale (PoS) integration for small businesses, taxation of the real estate and property sector and other operational hardships.
Mr Langrial and assured the delegation that we will do everything we can to support the business community. He emphasised that genuine hardship cases would be given special consideration, while reiterating that the collection of taxes payable under the law would be ensured and tax evasion would not be tolerated under any circumstances.
The Inland Revenue’s members legal and operations responded to the queries raised by the ICCI representatives and provided clarifications on relevant matters.
The FBR chairman stated that establishing a business-friendly environment remains the priority. He directed the concerned wings to examine the issues highlighted by the business community and resolve their genuine concerns at the earliest.
Published in Dawn, March 1st, 2026
Business
UAE halts stock markets for two days after Iran strikes – Business
The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has ordered its stock markets closed on Monday and Tuesday as the country reels from Iran’s retaliatory missile and drone strikes, in a sign of the growing economic disruption sweeping the Gulf.
Iran carried out the strikes in Gulf countries that have US bases and assets after joint attacks on the Islamic republic by Israel and America.
The UAE Capital Markets Authority said the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange and Dubai Financial Market would remain shut on March 2 and March 3, citing its supervisory and regulatory role over the country’s capital markets.
“The Authority will continue to monitor developments in the region and assess the situation on an ongoing basis, taking any further measures as necessary,” it said in a statement.
The UAE’s two exchanges are home to some of the region’s most valuable listed companies.
The closure keeps billions of dollars in listed assets in suspension as investors await clarity on the scale of damage from Saturday and Sunday’s strikes, which hit airports, ports and residential areas across the UAE and broader Gulf region.
Gulf markets that did open on Sunday saw sharp declines. Saudi Arabia’s benchmark index fell more than four per cent at the open, Oman dropped 3pc and Egypt’s main index shed 5.44pc, while Kuwait suspended trading entirely.
All parties were advised to follow official UAE Capital Markets Authority, ADX and DFM channels for updates on the resumption of trading.
Business
Oil jumps 10pc on Iran conflict and could spike to $100 a barrel, analysts say – World
Brent crude jumped 10 per cent to about $80 a barrel over the counter on Sunday, oil traders said, while analysts predicted that prices could climb as high as $100 after US and Israeli strikes on Iran plunged the Middle East into a new war.
The global oil benchmark has rallied this year and reached $73 a barrel on Friday for its highest since July, buoyed by growing concern over the potential attacks that arrived a day later. Futures trading is closed over the weekend.
“While the military attacks are themselves supportive for oil prices, the key factor here is the closing of the Strait of Hormuz,” said Ajay Parmar, director of energy and refining at ICIS.
Most tanker owners, oil majors and trading houses have suspended crude oil, fuel and liquefied natural gas shipments via the Strait of Hormuz, trade sources said, after Tehran warned ships against moving through the waterway. More than 20pc of global oil is moved through the Strait of Hormuz.
Middle East leaders have warned Washington that a war on Iran could lead to oil prices jumping to more than $100 a barrel, said RBC analyst Helima Croft. Rabobank analysts are slightly less bullish, seeing prices holding above $90 a barrel in the near term.
The OPEC+ group of oil producers agreed on Sunday to raise output by 206,000 barrels per day (bpd) from April, a modest increase representing less than 0.2pc of global demand.
While some alternate infrastructure could be used to bypass the Strait of Hormuz, the net impact from its closure would be a loss of 8million to 10m bpd of crude oil supply even after diverting some flows through Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline and Abu Dhabi’s pipeline, said Rystad Energy economist Jorge Leon.
Rystad expects prices to rise by $20 to about $92 a barrel when trade opens.
The Iran crisis also prompted Asian governments and refiners to assess oil stockpiles and alternative shipping routes and supplies. Kpler analysts said in a webinar on Sunday that India might turn to Russian oil to make up for potential Middle East supply loss.
Business
Middle East war to hamper Pakistan’s external trade – Business
KARACHI: The war in the Middle East will severely hamper Pakistan’s trade with the region, as both exports and crucial imports have come to a halt following the cancellation of flights and suspension of shipping operations.
Hundreds of thousands of Pakistanis are stranded in the Middle East as all flights to and from the region were suspended in the wake of war erupted after attacks on Iran by Israel and the US.
Pakistanis have expressed concern over the consequences of the war for the country and for the millions Pakistani workers living in the Middle East. An immediate issue is the large number of Pakistanis currently in Saudi Arabia to perform Umrah.
The business community is in shock, as their exports to the Middle East will remain suspended until the conflict subsides. The UAE is the second-largest trading partner of Pakistan, while the country imports most of its oil from the Middle East. Pakistan also imports liquefied natural gas (LNG) from Qatar.
Remittances likely to decline during Ramazan
Iran had earlier warned that in the event of war, the Strait of Hormuz would be closed, which means oil supply from the Middle East will come to a halt. Such a move would also hurt oil-producing countries in the region as their economies largely depend on oil revenues.
Pakistan depends heavily on remittances sent by overseas Pakistanis to support its foreign exchange reserves, which reached $40 billion in FY25.
“The immediate impact of this war is reflected in the lower demand for foreign currencies like Saudi riyal, UAE dirham and US dollar,” said Malik Bostan, chairman of the Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan. He added that these currencies have lost value against the Pakistani rupee, but the actual situation will become clearer on Monday, the first working day after the outbreak of war in the region as banks’ currency markets remain closed on Saturday.
Currency market experts also anticipated that inflows of remittances may decline, particularly during the month of Ramazan.
“There is no obstacle to remittances, but thousands of Pakistanis usually return home for Eid and bring foreign currencies, which are later sold in the open market. This inflow of millions of dollars (in terms of value) will see a decline,” said Mr Bostan.
Millions of Pakistanis working in the Middle East may feel insecure due to the war, while those in Saudi Arabia for Umrah will require arrangements to return home.
Trade with UAE, KSA
Trade with the UAE in FY25 was $10.1bn, with Pakistan’s exports to the country stood at $2.1bn, leaving the balance of trade clearly in favour of the UAE.
Pakistan’s exports to Saudi Arabia in FY25 stood at $700m. Data for calendar year 2024 showed that imports from Saudi Arabia was $4.5bn.
Pakistan’s export is already facing a stagnant situation despite the government’s ambitious plan to boost exports to $60bn within three years, one year of which has already passed.
The war in the region has not only destroyed this dream, but is also likely to significantly hurt overall export performance.
Published in Dawn, March 1st, 2026
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