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Non-textile exports dip 17pc in July-January

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 Amid an export uptick, logistics disruptions constrain cement shipments to Kabul as the closure of borders hit trade between the two neighbours.—Dawn/file
Amid an export uptick, logistics disruptions constrain cement shipments to Kabul as the closure of borders hit trade between the two neighbours.—Dawn/file

ISLAMABAD: Exports of non-textile products dipped by 17.32 per cent to $7.286 billion in the first seven months of the current fiscal year from $8.812bn, largely attributed to a steep reduction in exports of agricultural produce and value-added shipments.

The contraction reflects mounting pressure on key sectors, especially agriculture-based products, which have struggled with lower volumes and weaker external demand.

Analysts suggest that without a rebound in value-added products, overall export performance may remain under pressure in the coming months.

However, paltry growth was recorded in leather, footwear, and engineering products in 7MFY26 compared with a year ago, according to data compiled by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics.

Proceeds slump to $7.3bn on poor agriculture sector performance

The agriculture sector bore the brunt of the slowdown, with rice exports suffering the steepest setback. During the first seven months of FY26, the value of rice exports plunged by 40.51pc to $1.305bn on a year-on-year basis.

The decline was not limited to prices alone. Export volumes also fell sharply, dropping 32.94pc YoY to 2.439 million tonnes. The decline was observed across basmati and non-basmati varieties.

The dual fall in both value and quantity points to a combination of lower international prices and weaker demand in key markets. In response, the government has unveiled a Rs15 billion subsidy package aimed at stabilising the sector and supporting exporters.

In contrast to the contraction in agriculture, parts of the non-agricultural sector posted paltry gains during the review period.

Exports of engineering goods rose by 5.85pc in the first seven months of FY26 compared with the same period a year earlier.

The expansion was driven by higher shipments of industrial machinery, transport equipment, electric fans, auto parts and rubber tyres.

Cement exports also showed resilience in volume terms. During the first seven months of the current fiscal year, export quantities edged up by 0.33pc YoY. In value terms, however, growth was more pronounced, with cement exports rising by 9.91pc over the same period.

Despite the increase, exporters say momentum has been constrained by logistical disruptions. The prolonged closure of the Torkham border since October has slowed shipments to Afghanistan, one of Pakistan’s largest cement markets.

In the footwear segment, export performance was mixed. Overall footwear exports rose by 3.51pc during the period under review, largely supported by a sharp 32.09pc surge in shipments categorised as other footwear. The increase in this segment helped offset declines in traditional categories. Leather footwear exports fell by 2.55pc, while the steepest contraction was recorded in canvas footwear, where exports dropped by 52.04pc.

The broader leather manufacturing sector showed marginal improvement.

Exports in this category inched up by 0.04pc during the first seven months of the current fiscal year compared with the same period a year earlier. The slight gain was primarily driven by a 6.65pc rise in leather garments, suggesting some flexibility in value-added products.

In contrast, exports of raw leather declined by 4.37pc, underscoring continued weakness in unprocessed and semi-processed segments.

Pakistan is one of the major suppliers of surgical instruments worldwide. However, the export value of these instruments remained negligible as famous brands re-marketed these in Western countries. It recorded a negative growth of 0.45pc during the months under review.

Published in Dawn, February 22nd, 2026



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Wheat procurement price fixed at Rs3,500

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ISLAMABAD: The federal government has set an illustrative wheat procurement price at Rs3,500 per 40 kilograms and has sensitised the provinces to ensure the smooth implementation of the procurement drive during the upcoming harvesting season.

The current procurement framework will remain applicable for one year, as the federal government is working on a comprehensive long-term wheat policy for 2026-2030, aimed at strengthening national food security through modern reforms, Minister for National Food Security and Research Rana Tanveer Hussain said while chairing a meeting of the national wheat oversight committee on Saturday.

Mr Tanveer highlighted that the upcoming policy will focus on digital traceability mechanisms, improved supply chain monitoring, enhanced transparency, and sustained price stability, enabling better coordination between the federal and provincial governments.

Reaffirming the government’s commitment to safeguarding food security, the minister stated that coordinated federal-provincial efforts will continue to ensure stable wheat availability, protect farmers’ interests, and maintain affordable prices for consumers across the country.

Senior officials of the federal and provincial governments gave detailed briefings on procurement preparedness, stock positions, and supply management strategies ahead of the upcoming harvesting season.

During the meeting, provinces shared updates on their respective procurement strategies. The Khyber Pakhtun­khwa government has adopted a hybrid wheat procurement model comprising 75 per cent public sector participation and 25pc private sector involvement to enhance efficiency and market responsiveness.

The Sindh government informed the committee that wheat procurement will be carried out through the public sector to ensure a stable supply and price management.

The committee was informed that adequate wheat stocks are currently available in all provinces to meet national consumption requirements until the arrival of the new crop. The federal government reiterated that there is no risk of wheat shortage in Pakistan, and coordinated measures are in place to ensure an uninterrupted supply across markets.

Special emphasis was also placed on consumer protection during the holy month of Ramazan. The minister directed all provinces to ensure strict market monitoring and take effective administrative measures to prevent any unnecessary increase in flour prices.

Published in Dawn, February 22nd, 2026



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Stocks slide below 174,000 mark in volatile week

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KARACHI: The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) endured a fourth difficult week as geopolitical strains between the United States and Iran, compounded by domestic political noise, triggered a significant sell-off, pushing the KSE-100 index below the 174,000-point level.

The index closed at 173,170 points, down 6,434 points, or 3.6 per cent week-on-week, marking a sharp correction from its January peak of 189,167. This represents a decline of 8.5 per cent from that high.

According to Topline Securities, foreign corporates were the primary sellers, offloading equities worth $26-28 million during the week. This foreign outflow overshadowed the buying by individuals and banks, which made net purchases of $14.4m and $12.1m, respectively.

Trading activity also slowed as Ramadan approached, with average daily volumes falling 22-24 per cent week-on-week to 654-831 million shares. The average traded value dropped 12 per cent to $134m, according to AKD Securities.

Sector-wise, Arif Habib Ltd noted that banks led the decline, contributing 1,044 points to the fall, followed by fertilisers (931 points), cement (814 points), investment banks (599 points), and oil marketing companies (509 points). Key negative contributors included Fauji Fertiliser Company, Engro Holdings, Pakistan State Oil, Lucky Cement, and Pioneer Cement.

Foreign selling and geopolitical strains weigh on sentiment

While the stock market faced a battering, several economic indicators offered a glimmer of support. The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) reported that the country posted a current account surplus of $121m in January, reversing a deficit of $265m in December 2025 and $393m in January 2025. However, during the first seven months of FY26, the current account remained in deficit at $1.07bn, compared to a surplus of $564m in the same period last year.

According to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS), the trade deficit for January stood at $2.76bn. Exports rose by 3.5pc year-on-year to $3.1bn, driven by a 34.8pc month-on-month increase, while imports declined by 1pc annually and 4.4pc month-on-month to $5.8bn. The cumulative trade deficit widened by 28.4pc to $22.1bn in 7MFY26.

The SBP reported that foreign direct investment (FDI) recorded an inflow of $173m in January, reversing a $135m outflow in December. However, cumulative FDI in 7MFY26 fell 41pc year-on-year to $981m.

On the industrial front, the PBS stated that large-scale manufacturing (LSM) output edged up 0.4pc year-on-year in December 2025, with a 9.3pc month-on-month increase. For the first half of FY26, LSM expanded 4.8pc, led by growth in the automobile and textile

sectors.

Auto financing showed continued growth, rising 35.8pc year-on-year to Rs328bn in January, while it increased 2.8pc on month-on-month. However, fertiliser offtake dropped by 48pc year-on-year in January, driven by high channel inventories following advance procurement in the prior month, as noted by Arif Habib Ltd.

Power generation increased 12pc year-on-year to 9,140 gigawatt hours (GWh) in January, with cumulative output in 7MFY26 reaching 76,496 GWh, up 2pc from the same period last year, according to AHL.

The SBP’s liquid foreign exchange reserves rose by $19m to $16.2bn as of Feb 13. The rupee remained largely stable, appreciating by 0.02pc week-on-week to close at Rs279.56 to the dollar. The real effective exchange rate stood at 103.29 in December, a 0.42pc decline from the previous month but a 5.37pc increase in FY26 to date.

In the petroleum sector, PBS reported that high-speed diesel prices increased by Rs7.32 per litre to Rs275.70, while the petroleum levy remained unchanged at Rs76.21 per litre.

Roshan Digital Account (RDA) remittance inflows reached $11.92bn by the end of January, with $1.97bn repatriated and $7.66bn used locally, leaving a net repatriable liability of $2.3bn. Cumulative inflows crossed the $12bn mark in February, according to SBP.

Other notable developments included a Rs5 per kilowatt-hour reduction in industrial power tariffs, a 19pc year-on-year increase in IT exports in January, and a 1.3pc rise in textile exports during 7MFY26.

Analysts are cautious but hopeful about the market’s near-term direction. AKD Securities believes that geopolitical developments and the outcome of the upcoming IMF review mission, due to arrive next week, will be crucial in determining investor sentiment. Additionally, the corporate results season may offer some upside, especially if earnings surpass expectations.

Currently, the KSE-100 index is trading at an attractive price-to-earnings ratio of 8.7 times, offering a dividend yield of approximately 5.6pc.

Published in Dawn, February 22nd, 2026



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Jura Energy faces regulatory scrutiny

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ISLAMABAD: As the Ministry of Energy has initiated proceedings against Jura Energy Corporation for allegedly failing to comply with Pakistani laws, a new development has surfaced relating to a change in the foreign firm’s ownership and directors.

Acting on directives of the Islamabad High Court to initiate action against the company for non-compliance with petroleum concession agreements, parti­cularly concerning changes in directors without prior approval from the relevant authorities, the Directorate General of Petroleum Concessions (DGPC) has sought an opinion from the law ministry on the course of action to be taken against Frontier Holdings Ltd (FHL) and Spud Energy Ltd, subsidiaries of Jura Energy.

Meanwhile, fresh infor­mation indicates that share­­holders have initiated proceedings before Onta­rio’s Commer­cial List, Canada, against Jura Energy, accusing its leadership of governance failures that allegedly placed the company’s entire business at risk.

The lawsuit alleges that Jura’s directors permitted a transfer of effective corporate control without securing the mandatory approvals required under local petroleum laws, despite knowing that the company’s survival depends entirely on petroleum concessions held in Pakistan through its subsidiaries FHL and Spud Energy.

Published in Dawn, February 22nd, 2026



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