Business
PSX settles above 166,000 in November
KARACHI: The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) closed the outgoing week and month on a firm footing as the benchmark KSE-100 index sailed past the 166,000 barrier in the final session of the rollover week, buoyed by renewed institutional buying and improving macro indicators.
After beginning the week under pressure amid profit-taking, investors returned to value positions across key sectors, helping the benchmark claw back losses and resume its upward trajectory.
Topline Securities reported a 3.12 per cent month-on-month gain for the index in November, crediting the rise to stronger participation from local institutions and retail investors. However, overall activity thinned, with average daily volume sliding 42pc to 819 million shares and traded value dropping 34pc to Rs34.8 billion.
Key economic indicators shaped the month’s sentiment. October’s inflation edged up to 6.2pc year-on-year from 5.6pc in September. Workers’ remittances climbed to $3.42bn, up 12pc year-on-year and 7pc month-on-month. The current account swung to a $112m deficit after posting an $83m surplus in September.
Foreign direct investment clocked in at $179m, rising 23pc year-on-year but slipping 4pc month-on-month. The real effective exchange rate increased to 103.95, while Large-Scale Manufacturing grew 2pc month-on-month and 2.7pc year-on-year in October.
Economic data, IMF board meeting and Reko Diq project’s financial close lift investor sentiment
Arif Habib Ltd (AHL) said the index gained 4,575 points, or 2.82pc week-on-week, to close at 166,677.70. Fertiliser stocks strengthened as Fauji Fertiliser Company (FFC) surged ahead of its inclusion in the KMI-30 index.
Pakistan Petroleum Ltd (PPL) rallied on optimism over Reko Diq’s nearing financial close, while Oil and Gas Development Company (OGDC) gained after receiving its fifth interest payment of Rs7.725bn.
Investor confidence was also buoyed by the upcoming IMF Executive Board meeting on Dec 8, during which Pakistan expects approval of a $1.2bn tranche under the Extended Fund Facility and the Resilience Sustainability Fund.
AHL noted that approval would take total disbursements to about $3.3bn, reinforcing external stability. In the latest T-bill auction, the State Bank of Pakistan accepted Rs749bn against a target of Rs650bn. The one-month paper cut-off yield stood at 10.89pc, while the three- and six-month tenors stayed at 11pc. The 12-month paper attracted the highest interest, with yields at 11.27pc.
Broad money (M2) reached Rs39.98 trillion as of Nov 14, up 12.15pc year-on-year, while private-sector credit contracted 0.68pc. Bank deposits rose nearly 10pc.
The SBP-held foreign exchange reserves rose by a meagre $9.2m to $14.560bn during the week ending Nov 21. However, the country’s total liquid foreign reserves decreased to $19.605bn from the previous week’s $19.738bn due to a decline in commercial banks’ foreign exchange holdings, which fell from $5.186bn to $5.044bn in the latest week.
The current forex holdings are sufficient to cover 2.36 months of imports. The rupee appreciated marginally by 0.04pc week-on-week to close at 280.52 against the dollar.
Analysts at AHL expect the market to retain its positive tone next week, supported by anticipated IMF approval and improved reserve prospects. The index trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.42x, slightly below its 15-year average of 8.59x, offering a dividend yield of around 5.8pc.
IMF optimism fuels bull run
AKD Securities echoed the upbeat outlook, attributing the week’s momentum to optimism surrounding the IMF board meeting. Petroleum Minister Ali Pervaiz Malik’s statement that Reko Diq was closing in on financial close — with $3.5bn in loans secured — triggered a strong rally in exploration stocks, contributing 843 points to the index. FFC’s inclusion in the Shariah-compliant index added another 1,582 points.
Despite the rally, market participation slipped 14.2pc week-on-week, with average daily volume falling to 1.1bn shares.
Other developments included the Special Investment Facilitation Council’s new investment roadmap, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s target of $1bn in trade with Bahrain over three years, Chinese plans for a $1.5bn industrial park, and business deals worth $615m at Food Exhibition 2025. The IMF also acknowledged improvements at the Competition Commission of Pakistan.
Winners and laggards
Top-performing sectors included leather and tanneries (12.9pc), fertiliser (4.9pc), commercial banks (2.9pc), technology and communication (2.8pc) and cement (2.6pc). Jute, modarabas, refineries, leasing companies and glass and ceramics were among the worst performers.
Banks and DFIs were net buyers of $14.5m, followed by mutual funds, which were net buyers of $9.5m. Foreign investors and individuals offloaded $12.9m and $9.1m, respectively.
Sui Southern Gas Company led individual gainers, rising 18.2pc. It was followed by Services Industries (14.2pc), Pioneer Cement (10.1pc), Hum Network (9.1pc) and Fatima Fertiliser (8.1pc).
Major laggards included Packages Ltd (down 6.7pc), Bestway Cement (5.8pc), Yousuf Weaving (4.4pc), Cnergyico PK (4.3pc) and Attock Refinery (4.1pc).
Published in Dawn, November 30th, 2025
Business
ADB approves $381m for 3 projects concerning agriculture, education and health services in Punjab – Pakistan
The Asian Development Bank on Saturday approved three projects totalling $381 million concerning agriculture, education and health services in Punjab.
According to a press release, the development projects are aimed at fostering economic growth in the province.
“Investing in education, health, and agricultural mechanisation will play a transformative role in driving the growth of Punjab, a vital pillar of Pakistan’s economy,“ ADB Country Director for Pakistan Emma Fan was quoted as saying.
“These strategic investments will modernise agriculture, enhance human capital, and significantly improve livelihoods for millions of people across Punjab,” she said.
According to the handout, a $120 million concessional loan and $4 million grant have been allocated for the Punjab Climate-Resilient and Low-Carbon Agriculture Mechanisation Project to accelerate the province’s transition to modern, disaster-resilient, and low-carbon agriculture practices, benefiting 220,000 rural farm households.
“The project will help mechanise farming and provide alternative livelihoods for agricultural workers, including through boosting the knowledge and skills of 15,000 women. It will introduce a new financing model for farm mechanisation service providers to equip small-scale farmers with advanced machinery,” the ADB said.
The Bank also approved $107m for the Responsive, Ready, and Resilient Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics Secondary Education in Punjab Programme.
“This includes a $7m grant from ADB’s Asian Development Fund and a $100m loan from ADB’s ordinary concessional capital resources. The results-based programme aims to modernise secondary education by enhancing inclusive science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) education across Punjab. The project, implemented by the Punjab School Education Department, will improve access to quality education for students across the province,” it said.
Further, the ADB approved a $150m concessional loan for the Punjab Nursing and Health Workforce Reform Programme to enhance nursing education, develop disaster-resilient training facilities, and strengthen health workforce governance in Punjab.
It noted that Pakistan faced a shortage of qualified nurses while the global demand for trained nurses was growing.
“Modernising the nursing sector will meet national and international demands. The results-based programme will focus on upgrading nursing curricula, expanding faculty development initiatives, and implementing a digital human resource management information system to align workforce planning with healthcare service needs. By expanding the pool of qualified nurses, predominantly women, the program will improve health service delivery across the province,” it said.
It said that key components of the nursing programme included the establishment of three centres of excellence in Lahore, Multan, and Rawalpindi.
“These centres will feature state-of-the-art simulation laboratories, digital learning platforms, and gender-responsive hostels, addressing Punjab’s demand for skilled healthcare workforce capable of meeting growing local needs and employment opportunities abroad,” it said.
Business
IMF’s Executive Board to meet on Dec 8 to approve disbursement of $1.2bn to Pakistan – Business
The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Executive Board will meet on December 8 (Monday) to approve $1.2 billion in loans to Pakistan.
The IMF had reached a staff-level agreement with Pakistan on its loan programmes in October after extensive talks were held in Karachi, Islamabad and Washington from September 24 to October 8.
The agreement still requires approval from IMF’s Executive Board before funds can be released.
If approved, it would unlock about $1.2 billion in fresh financing for the country; roughly $1 billion under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and another $200 million under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF).
The IMF confirmed the date of the meeting in a brief announcement on Friday. The official calendar posted on the IMF website also showed the Executive Board would review Pakistan’s loan programmes.
Negotiations between Islamabad and the lending agency, led by IMF mission chief Iva Petrova, had focused on Pakistan’s fiscal performance, monetary stance, structural reforms and progress on climate-related commitments.
In its earlier assessment, the IMF noted that Pakistan had made “strong progress” in fiscal consolidation, reducing inflation and strengthening external buffers. It also acknowledged the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) continued tight monetary policy, which has played a key role in anchoring inflation expectations.
Structural reforms — especially those related to state-owned enterprises, energy-sector viability, competition and public-service delivery — were cited as areas where the authorities had demonstrated continued commitment.
The Fund also pointed to advances under the RSF-supported climate agenda, including efforts to enhance resilience to natural disasters, strengthen water-resource management and improve the country’s climate-information systems.
These reforms have taken on greater urgency following recent floods that caused widespread damage to agriculture, infrastructure and livelihoods.
Approval of the reviews is widely expected to bolster investor confidence at a critical moment, as Pakistan continues to stabilise its economy amid external pressures and the lingering effects of flood damage.
Islamabad has been under sustained pressure to maintain fiscal discipline, accelerate energy-sector reforms and continue revenue-mobilisation measures to ensure longer-term stability.
The IMF has warned, however, that risks remain elevated. The economic outlook has been tempered by flood-related losses, and the Fund has emphasised that monetary policy must remain “appropriately tight and data-dependent” to keep inflation within the SBP’s target range.
It has also stressed the need for steady implementation of reforms to strengthen competition, enhance productivity, improve public services and reduce persistent vulnerabilities in the energy sector.
If the Board grants its approval on December 8, Pakistan could receive the disbursement as early as the following day.
Officials in Islamabad hope the inflow will reinforce external buffers, support economic recovery and signal continued international confidence in the government’s reform agenda.
Key report released ahead of meeting
Ahead of the meeting, the IMF released its long-awaited Governance and Corruption Diagnostic Assessment (GCDA), in which it highlighted persistent corruption challenges in Pakistan driven by systemic weaknesses across state institutions and demanded immediate initiation of a 15-point reform agenda to improve transparency, fairness and integrity.
The report, publication of which is a precondition for the IMF Executive Board’s approval of the loan programmes, estimated that Pakistan could boost economic growth by about 5 to 6.5 per cent over five years if it implements a package of governance reforms beginning within the next three to six months.
The report led to criticism of the government, and opposition parties called for a probe into the “worst financial scandal of Pakistan’s history”.
However, Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb stated last week that the report was “not criticism” but a “catalyst for accelerating long-overdue reforms”.
He maintained that the report acknowledged significant progress in sectors including taxation and governance, and that many of its priority recommendations were “already work in progress”.
The finance minister further said the government was committed to implementing the remaining recommendations as part of broader institutional reforms essential to sustaining Pakistan’s economic turnaround.
Business
Edible oil, wheat flour fuel SPI – Business
ISLAMABAD: Short-term inflation, measured by the Sensitive Price Index (SPI), increased four per cent year-on-year in the week ending Dec 4, owing to an increase in the retail price of edible oil and wheat flour in the domestic market.
The SPI-based inflation has been on an upward trend for the past 18 consecutive weeks. A surge in the prices of perishable products, LPG cylinders, and electricity mainly drives the increase.
It, however, declined by 0.64pc from the previous week due to a slight decline in prices of tomatoes, potatoes and onions, official data showed on Friday.
The prices of tomatoes, onions, and potatoes rose sharply due to supply disruptions caused by the closure of the border with Afghanistan. The extraordinary spike in the retail prices of sugar and meat also contributed to fuel the short-term inflation.
The weekly inflation hit a record 48.35pc year-on-year in early May 2023, but then decelerated to 24.4pc in late August 2023 before surging past 40pc during the week ending Nov 16, 2023.
The items whose prices increased the most over the previous week included LPG (3.50pc), garlic (1.86pc), cooking oil 5 litre (1.54pc), eggs (0.81pc), bread (0.57pc), vegetable ghee 1 kg (0.40pc), powdered milk (0.36pc), bananas and wheat flour (0.28pc) each and cigarettes (0.25pc).
The items whose prices saw a decline week-on-week included tomatoes (30.11pc), onions (12.41pc), potatoes (6.92pc), chicken (4.46pc), sugar (3.31pc), diesel (1.67pc), pulse gram (1.55pc), pulse masoor (1.33pc), gur (1pc) and petrol (0.73pc).
However, on an annual basis, the items whose prices increased the most included sugar (37.49pc), gas charges for Q1 (29.85pc), wheat flour (17.50pc), gur (15.06pc), beef (13.47pc), firewood (12.59pc), bananas (11.06pc), powdered milk (9.03pc), diesel (8.42pc), lawn printed (8.29pc), cooking oil 5 litre (8.19pc) and vegetable ghee 2.5 kg (7.59pc).
In contrast, the prices of potatoes dropped 40.47pc, followed by garlic (38.51pc), tomatoes (31.51pc), onions (29.87pc), pulse gram (29.54pc), tea Lipton (17.79pc), pulse mash (13.82pc), electricity charges for Q1 (8.40pc) and salt powder (5.13pc).
Published in Dawn, December 6th, 2025
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