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SBP chief stresses investment in innovation

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ISLAMABAD: State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) Governor Jameel Ahmad on Wednesday called upon businesses to explore new markets and invest in efficiency and innovation.

Addressing the two-day ‘Dialogue on the Economy,’ organised by the Pakistan Business Council (PBC), Mr Ahmad emphasised the need for the country to be a significant player in the modern global economy instead of operating on its margins.

He stressed that Pakistan also has a window of opportunity for stronger engagement from partners such as the US, China, and the Middle East.

He, however, also warned that the country’s current economic growth model cannot sustain a rapidly growing population of 250 million people.

Warns current growth model with a rising population not sustainable

Mr Ahmad emphasised the urgent need for Pakistan to transition from short-lived stabilisation efforts to a durable, sustainable and outward-looking growth model.

Speaking on the topic of the ‘State of Economy and Monetary Policy’, he emphasised the need to rethink the country’s economic model, saying that policymakers and businesses need to take a long-term view about policies, regulations and business strategies.

He noted that macroeconomic discipline is now underpinned by well-coordinated and forward-looking monetary and fiscal policies, avoiding the premature easing that historically undermined stability. The central bank’s enhanced forecasting capacity, he added, has allowed policymakers to anchor decisions in eight-quarter projections rather than short-term indicators.

“Inflation has not only fallen in line with our forecast but is expected to remain within the 5-7 per cent target band over the medium term,” he affirmed.

A major pillar of improved stability, Mr Ahmad stressed, is the qualitative strengthening of external buffers. Unlike past reliance on debt-driven inflows, recent reserve accumulation reflects strategic foreign exchange purchases and reduced forward liabilities.

He added that the public sector external debt has remained broadly stable since 2022, while the external debt-to-GDP ratio has declined from 31 to 26pc. During the same period, SBP’s FX reserves have risen from a critically low $2.9bn to roughly $14.5bn, a nearly fivefold increase.

“For policymakers, addressing structural issues through long-term reforms is imperative”, while businesses must shift their focus from looking inward to looking outward and compete on the global stage by producing goods that meet global demand and quality benchmarks. This will only happen if firms integrate into global value chains, modernise their production processes, and stop relying on substitutes for genuine competitiveness, Mr Ahmad said.

“We cannot achieve long-term sustainable economic growth if our private sector continues to look only at short-term profit margins at the cost of long-term stagnation and global irrelevance.” For our part, SBP and the government will continue to pursue structural reforms, strengthen fiscal and external buffers to improve resilience, and provide stability for our businesses to thrive, he assured.

“Our firms must align their workforce development with changing market needs. The private sector should also pursue partnerships and joint ventures abroad, technology transfer, and knowledge exchange to improve productivity and competitiveness at home,” he said.

The SBP governor further said that despite challenges and skepticism, the government has achieved the ambitious path of necessary fiscal consolidation over the past three consecutive years, even surpassing its primary surplus targets.

Published in Dawn, November 27th, 2025



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ADB approves $381m for 3 projects concerning agriculture, education and health services in Punjab – Pakistan

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The Asian Development Bank on Saturday approved three projects totalling $381 million concerning agriculture, education and health services in Punjab.

According to a press release, the development projects are aimed at fostering economic growth in the province.

“Investing in education, health, and agricultural mechanisation will play a transformative role in driving the growth of Punjab, a vital pillar of Pakistan’s economy,“ ADB Country Director for Pakistan Emma Fan was quoted as saying.

“These strategic investments will modernise agriculture, enhance human capital, and significantly improve livelihoods for millions of people across Punjab,” she said.

According to the handout, a $120 million concessional loan and $4 million grant have been allocated for the Punjab Climate-Resilient and Low-Carbon Agriculture Mechanisation Project to accelerate the province’s transition to modern, disaster-resilient, and low-carbon agriculture practices, benefiting 220,000 rural farm households.

“The project will help mechanise farming and provide alternative livelihoods for agricultural workers, including through boosting the knowledge and skills of 15,000 women. It will introduce a new financing model for farm mechanisation service providers to equip small-scale farmers with advanced machinery,” the ADB said.

The Bank also approved $107m for the Responsive, Ready, and Resilient Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics Secondary Education in Punjab Programme.

“This includes a $7m grant from ADB’s Asian Development Fund and a $100m loan from ADB’s ordinary concessional capital resources. The results-based programme aims to modernise secondary education by enhancing inclusive science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) education across Punjab. The project, implemented by the Punjab School Education Department, will improve access to quality education for students across the province,” it said.

Further, the ADB approved a $150m concessional loan for the Punjab Nursing and Health Workforce Reform Programme to enhance nursing education, develop disaster-resilient training facilities, and strengthen health workforce governance in Punjab.

It noted that Pakistan faced a shortage of qualified nurses while the global demand for trained nurses was growing.

“Modernising the nursing sector will meet national and international demands. The results-based programme will focus on upgrading nursing curricula, expanding faculty development initiatives, and implementing a digital human resource management information system to align workforce planning with healthcare service needs. By expanding the pool of qualified nurses, predominantly women, the program will improve health service delivery across the province,” it said.

It said that key components of the nursing programme included the establishment of three centres of excellence in Lahore, Multan, and Rawalpindi.

“These centres will feature state-of-the-art simulation laboratories, digital learning platforms, and gender-responsive hostels, addressing Punjab’s demand for skilled healthcare workforce capable of meeting growing local needs and employment opportunities abroad,” it said.



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IMF’s Executive Board to meet on Dec 8 to approve disbursement of $1.2bn to Pakistan – Business

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The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Executive Board will meet on December 8 (Monday) to approve $1.2 billion in loans to Pakistan.

The IMF had reached a staff-level agreement with Pakistan on its loan programmes in October after extensive talks were held in Karachi, Islamabad and Washington from September 24 to October 8.

The agreement still requires approval from IMF’s Executive Board before funds can be released.

If approved, it would unlock about $1.2 billion in fresh financing for the country; roughly $1 billion under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and another $200 million under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF).

The IMF confirmed the date of the meeting in a brief announcement on Friday. The official calendar posted on the IMF website also showed the Executive Board would review Pakistan’s loan programmes.

Negotiations between Islamabad and the lending agency, led by IMF mission chief Iva Petrova, had focused on Pakistan’s fiscal performance, monetary stance, structural reforms and progress on climate-related commitments.

In its earlier assessment, the IMF noted that Pakistan had made “strong progress” in fiscal consolidation, reducing inflation and strengthening external buffers. It also acknowledged the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) continued tight monetary policy, which has played a key role in anchoring inflation expectations.

Structural reforms — especially those related to state-owned enterprises, energy-sector viability, competition and public-service delivery — were cited as areas where the authorities had demonstrated continued commitment.

The Fund also pointed to advances under the RSF-supported climate agenda, including efforts to enhance resilience to natural disasters, strengthen water-resource management and improve the country’s climate-information systems.

These reforms have taken on greater urgency following recent floods that caused widespread damage to agriculture, infrastructure and livelihoods.

Approval of the reviews is widely expected to bolster investor confidence at a critical moment, as Pakistan continues to stabilise its economy amid external pressures and the lingering effects of flood damage.

Islamabad has been under sustained pressure to maintain fiscal discipline, accelerate energy-sector reforms and continue revenue-mobilisation measures to ensure longer-term stability.

The IMF has warned, however, that risks remain elevated. The economic outlook has been tempered by flood-related losses, and the Fund has emphasised that monetary policy must remain “appropriately tight and data-dependent” to keep inflation within the SBP’s target range.

It has also stressed the need for steady implementation of reforms to strengthen competition, enhance productivity, improve public services and reduce persistent vulnerabilities in the energy sector.

If the Board grants its approval on December 8, Pakistan could receive the disbursement as early as the following day.

Officials in Islamabad hope the inflow will reinforce external buffers, support economic recovery and signal continued international confidence in the government’s reform agenda.

Key report released ahead of meeting

Ahead of the meeting, the IMF released its long-awaited Governance and Corruption Diagnostic Assessment (GCDA), in which it highlighted persistent corruption challenges in Pakistan driven by systemic weaknesses across state institutions and demanded immediate initiation of a 15-point reform agenda to improve transparency, fairness and integrity.

The report, publication of which is a precondition for the IMF Executive Board’s approval of the loan programmes, estimated that Pakistan could boost economic growth by about 5 to 6.5 per cent over five years if it implements a package of governance reforms beginning within the next three to six months.

The report led to criticism of the government, and opposition parties called for a probe into the “worst financial scandal of Pakistan’s history”.

However, Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb stated last week that the report was “not criticism” but a “catalyst for accelerating long-overdue reforms”.

He maintained that the report acknowledged significant progress in sectors including taxation and governance, and that many of its priority recommendations were “already work in progress”.

The finance minister further said the government was committed to implementing the remaining recommendations as part of broader institutional reforms essential to sustaining Pakistan’s economic turnaround.



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Edible oil, wheat flour fuel SPI – Business

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ISLAMABAD: Short-term inflation, measured by the Sensitive Price Index (SPI), increased four per cent year-on-year in the week ending Dec 4, owing to an increase in the retail price of edible oil and wheat flour in the domestic market.

The SPI-based inflation has been on an upward trend for the past 18 consecutive weeks. A surge in the prices of perishable products, LPG cylinders, and electricity mainly drives the increase.

It, however, declined by 0.64pc from the previous week due to a slight dec­line in prices of tomatoes, potatoes and onions, official data showed on Friday.

The prices of tomatoes, onions, and potatoes rose sharply due to supply disruptions caused by the closure of the border with Afghanistan. The extraordinary spike in the retail prices of sugar and meat also contributed to fuel the short-term inflation.

The weekly inflation hit a record 48.35pc year-on-year in early May 2023, but then decelerated to 24.4pc in late August 2023 before surging past 40pc during the week ending Nov 16, 2023.

The items whose prices increased the most over the previous week included LPG (3.50pc), garlic (1.86pc), cooking oil 5 litre (1.54pc), eggs (0.81pc), bread (0.57pc), vegetable ghee 1 kg (0.40pc), powdered milk (0.36pc), bananas and wheat flour (0.28pc) each and cigarettes (0.25pc).

The items whose prices saw a decline week-on-week included tomatoes (30.11pc), onions (12.41pc), potatoes (6.92pc), chicken (4.46pc), sugar (3.31pc), diesel (1.67pc), pulse gram (1.55pc), pulse masoor (1.33pc), gur (1pc) and petrol (0.73pc).

However, on an annual basis, the items whose prices increased the most included sugar (37.49pc), gas charges for Q1 (29.85pc), wheat flour (17.50pc), gur (15.06pc), beef (13.47pc), firewood (12.59pc), bananas (11.06pc), powdered milk (9.03pc), diesel (8.42pc), lawn printed (8.29pc), cooking oil 5 litre (8.19pc) and vegetable ghee 2.5 kg (7.59pc).

In contrast, the prices of potatoes dropped 40.47pc, followed by garlic (38.51pc), tomatoes (31.51pc), onions (29.87pc), pulse gram (29.54pc), tea Lipton (17.79pc), pulse mash (13.82pc), electricity charges for Q1 (8.40pc) and salt powder (5.13pc).

Published in Dawn, December 6th, 2025



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