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T-bill yields rise for second straight auction

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KARACHI: Treasury bill cut-off yields rose for a second consecutive auction on Wednesday, lifting returns further into double digits and taking the 12-month paper above the policy rate of 10.5 per cent.

In the previous auction, held after the monetary policy statement on Jan 26, T-bill yields rose by up to 39 basis points, moving some tenors from single digits into double digits.

Market participants said the latest outcome further dampened expectations of a near-term policy rate cut and suggested the benchmark rate could remain unchanged for an extended period.

Data released by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) showed the largest increase was recorded on the 12-month tenor, where the cut-off yield rose by 20 basis points to 10.60pc.

Govt borrows Rs677bn; return on 12-month paper exceeds policy rate

In the Feb 6 auction, the 12-month yield had increased by 39 basis points, taking the cumulative rise over the two auctions to almost 60 basis points and placing the one-year paper above the policy rate.

By contrast, the one-month cut-off yield fell by four basis points to 10.15pc, while the three-month and six-month yields rose by nine and 12 basis points to 10.28pc and 10.44pc, respectively.

Total bids at the auction stood at Rs1.265 trillion. The government accepted Rs319.8 billion through auction and Rs357.5bn in non-competitive bids, taking total borrowing to Rs677.3bn.

Analysts said higher T-bill yields would add to the government’s debt-servicing burden. Int­erest payments in the current fiscal year are projected at around Rs8tr, the single largest component of federal expenditure.

Financial sector experts said the higher yields could appeal to foreign investors, who invested $176m in January, but noted that the overall situation remained weak as 68pc of investment had returned during the first seven months (July-January) of the ongoing fiscal year.

Some analysts had expected a policy rate cut of up to 100 basis points ahead of the previous auction, but the SBP left the rate unchanged. The two successive increases in T-bill cut-off yields have strengthened market expectations that the policy rate may remain unchanged through the current fiscal year.

Published in Dawn, February 19th, 2026



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Power firms seek Rs1.78 more for January

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ISLAMABAD: After a period of relative stability, power companies have sought additional fuel cost charges of over Rs1.78 per unit from consumers across the country in March bills, as demand appeared to pick up and power generators returned to furnace oil.

The Central Power Purchasing Agency (CPPA) demanded a higher fuel cost on account of power consumed in January, even though almost 60 per cent of the power was generated from domestic, cheaper sources. Electricity consumption was reported to be around 12pc higher than the same month last year and 8pc higher than December 2025.

Once approved, the power companies would charge an additional amount of about Rs16bn to consumers of all the power companies, including ex-Wapda Distribution Companies (Discos) and K-Electric, in the billing month of March. The National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (Nepra) has called a public hearing on February 26 to examine the request for fuel cost adjustment (FCA).

The CPPA, which filed the petition for a higher FCA for January consumption, said the power consumption was around 12.1pc higher than the same month of the previous year and about 8pc higher than the previous month, December 2025. The power companies have claimed an average fuel cost of Rs12.18 per unit for January 2026, compared to Rs11.03 per unit of the same month of the previous year and almost Rs2.56 per unit higher than Rs9.62 per unit in December 2025.

CPPA demands higher fuel charges citing 12pc increase in demand

The CPPA reported that 8,762 billion units (gigawatt hours) of electricity were delivered to Discos in January.

The power companies have claimed that the average fuel cost amounted to Rs12.18 per unit in January, against a pre-approved reference fuel cost of Rs10.395 per unit. There is a need for an additional FCA of about Rs1.78 per unit.

The CPPA said about 9,140GWh of electricity was generated in January at an estimated fuel expenditure of Rs106.4bn (Rs11.64 per unit), of which 8,762GWh of energy was delivered to Discos for Rs106.7bn (Rs12.18 per unit), leading to a higher fuel cost over what was already charged to consumers in December bills. Regasified Liquefied Natural Gas (RLNG)- based power generation accounted for the largest share of the grid’s fuel, with almost 22pc.

This was followed by nuclear power with its 17.5pc share. Traditional hydropower generation dipped to just 8pc in the wake of the annual canal closure for maintenance. Third position was secured by imported coal, with a 17.28pc share, followed by local coal with a 15.4pc share.

The share of local gas-based generation stood at 12pc in January, up from 11pc in December. Furnace oil-based generation revived to 3pc, although the fuel has been officially phased out.

Furnace oil-based generation was the most expensive at Rs33.55 per unit, followed by Rs20 per unit from RLNG, Rs13.5 per unit from imported coal, Rs12.74 per unit from local gas, and Rs11.63 per unit from local coal. There was no power generation from high-speed diesel.

The nuclear fuel cost amounted to Rs2.23 per unit in January. The three renewable energy sources — wind, bagasse and solar — together contributed a 4.55pc share to the grid. Wind and solar have no fuel costs, while bagasse-based plants had a fuel cost of Rs10.39 per unit, with just 1.11pc contribution to the grid. Electricity imports from Iran accounted for 0.38pc of the total, with a fuel cost of Rs22.06 per unit.

Published in Dawn, February 19th, 2026



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Foreign direct investment plunges 41pc to $981 million

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KARACHI: Foreign direct investment (FDI) plunged year-on-year by 41 per cent in the first seven months of 2025-26.

Data issued by the State Bank on Wednesday showed that the confidence of foreign investors further declined compared to the previous year, as their investment during July-January FY26 fell to $981 million from $1.660 billion in the same period of the previous fiscal year.

Experts believe foreign investment will remain under pressure, as the regional situation is not conducive to foreign investors, and the country is also facing terrorism.

The government is struggling to attract foreign investors but failed to achieve any positive results. The State Bank data showed that the highest FDI inflows came from China at $495.5m; however, this was lower than last year’s $857m.

Other significant inflows were from Hong Kong ($188.4m), the UAE ($126m), and Switzerland ($124m).

The inflow of FDI improved in January, reaching $173.3m, but the largest inflow this month was from China, contributing $73m.

However, the largest outflow was to Norway, with disinvestment totalling $365m during the July-January period.

Published in Dawn, February 19th, 2026



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Privatisation commission forms committee to discuss proposed divestment of Islamabad International Airport

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https://www.dawn.com/news/1974297



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